The Blue Wave thread

[sean miguel]

Florida Governor race being called for DeSantis (R) - congratulations Floridians, you dodged a fucking bullet.

Marsha Blackburn (R-Tennessee) defeats Bredesen in spite of Taylor Swift lol.

And Indiana senate seat flipped to Mike Braun (R).



It's early yet, so keep those life jackets on.

 

[Jack Davenport]

We’re doomed!!!

OMG!!!

MSNBC looks like a funeral parlor right now.

 

[Jack Davenport]

If Democrats squeak out control of the house, their majority will only be 4 or 5, there will not be impeachment.

#Schadenboner

 

[sean miguel]

They'd need a super majority in the Senate to convict so it'd be a fruitless exercise anyways. But house Dems if they take control should INVESTIGATE INVESTIGATE INVESTIGATE. See how well that works out for them in 2020

 

[Jack Davenport]

Their majority will come out of California. Trump essentially just got re-elected.
Democrats cannot impeach and they will be in a similar situation as senate republicans. Their majority is so slim that a few red state blue dog Democrats will fuck up their agenda.

We have the senate and that’s what counts now.

 

[Jack Davenport]

*yawn*

Blue wave

*lol*

Claire McCaskill just lost.

Rick Scott looking good.
DeSantis wins

Kemp wins in Georgia.

Trump’s coattails in 2020 may sweep the GOP back in the majority.

Overall, it’s a good night.

Even Reagan lost mid terms.

 

[sean miguel]

The average midterm loss in the house for the President's party has been 30 house seats and 4 in the senate.

This isn't a wave but the natural ebb and flow. The seats that were up for grabs in the house were largely in districts that Hillary won.

For comparison, the Republicans gained 63 house seats and 6 in the Senate in the 2010 midterms. Now THAT was a wave.

 

[pool_hustler]

If Democrats squeak out control of the house, their majority will only be 4 or 5

Good call :thumbsup:

#Schadenboner

Or not

 

[Johan]

On November 5th, Republicans controled The White House, the Senate, the House and SCOTUS. Democrats controled nothing
On January 3rd, Republicans will control the White House, the Senate and SCOTUS. Democrats will control the House.

How's that anything but a victory for Democrats and a defeat for Republicans ?

 

[Jack Davenport]

On November 5th, Republicans controled The White House, the Senate, the House and SCOTUS. Democrats controled nothing
On January 3rd, Republicans will control the White House, the Senate and SCOTUS. Democrats will control the House.

How's that anything but a victory for Democrats and a defeat for Republicans ?

No one said that it wasn’t a defeat. Of course it is, but it was not the devastating blow that was predicted by the left.

As I said earlier, if given the choice of Hillary winning and Republicans keeping the house or Trump winning and the Dems winning a small majority I would have chosen the latter all day long and twice on Sunday. I’m relieved.

 

[Ace Boobtoucher]

Two years of whiny bitches complaining about how mean the President is and launching inquiry after inquiry will do nothing but cement a 2020 Red Tsunami. I'm dismayed that we're reverting to 2011 in terms of House "leadership." But Pelosi Galore is well past her sell by date. That, and Maxine Waters having any kind of responsibility is galling. Did any of you cunts see her tweets pandering to millennials? She was encouraging them to call her "Auntie Maxine." I was horrified. And then I trolled the shit out of her on twitter.

 

[Jack Davenport]

 

[sean miguel]

 

[sean miguel]

My partisanship aside, this stuff fascinates me. Politics, campaigning, polling, elections, etc. If there were a videogame of it, I'd play it.

 

[Johan]

The "blue wave" happened, at the state level : Democrats picked 7 seats

 

[Jack Davenport]

The "blue wave" happened, at the state level : Democrats picked 7 seats

Sure if it makes you feel better.

*lol*

 

[Straight Shooter]

A few takeaways:

1. Republicans are screwed with the metropolitan areas. Democrats are screwed with the rural areas. The former hurts the Democrats in the Senate. The latter hurts the Republicans in the House

2. In '06 and '08 the Democrats were able to take back the House by turning solidly red seats blue. After the 2008 election they held 22 seats in districts that voted for both Bush and McCain. That didn't last. in 2010 the GOP won back 20 of those seats. Those seats were rentals. 2018 as different. A majority of the Democratic pickups came in purple or blue districts. These are seats they're more likely to hold onto in the future. The Republicans held 25 seats in districts that voted for Clinton. The Democrats flipped 18 of those seats. Those aren't rental seats. They'll likely end up owning them. That means their House majority will have a good chance of surviving the next election

3. Democrats couldn't overcome gerrymandering but it may be ending soon.

"The Democratic disadvantage is most glaring in Ohio: While Democrats won 48 percent of the popular vote there, up from 43 percent in 2016, they collected only 25 percent of the state’s House seats – the same four seats they have held since 2012."

In North Carolina, the Democrats gained 2.9 percentage points, but flipped no seats...

In Michigan, Democrats flipped two seats, but got only 50 percent of the seats despite winning 54 percent of the vote...

After decades of blatant partisan gerrymandering, things may finally be changing. In May, Ohioans voted overwhelmingly to put redistricting in the hands of a bipartisan commission rather than self-interested legislators, and, on Tuesday, voters also approved reform measures in Colorado, Michigan and Missouri. (Utahns voted on a measure, too, but as of Wednesday afternoon the vote was too close to call.)

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...atest&contentPlacement=16&pgtype=sectionfront

#StraightShooter

 

[Johan]

Sure if it makes you feel better.

*lol*

It doesn't makes me "feel better".
I've never really bough that "blue wave" narrative. I was pretty sur he Democrats would win but I never expected a landslide, I never really thought they would take bth the House and the Senate. Mostly because polls aren't asd accurate as they used to be. One of the very rare positive aspect in see in Trump is that some US citizens who never relly care about politics because they thought politician on both sides never gave a fuck about them are now interested in politics.
The thing is these people are stong Trump voters, voters who would support Trump and vote for the candidates he asks the to vote for, for the candidate that are moist favorable ot him. And these pole aren't in pollsters samples, they don't appear in polls so these polls are now inaccurate.

 

[~~whimsy~~]

:1orglaugh :1orglaugh :1orglaugh

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez may be the youngest woman ever elected to Congress, but she's still a millennial who worries about paying rent. No, really.

"I have three months without a salary before I'm a member of Congress. So, how do I get an apartment? Those little things are very real," Ocasio-Cortez said to The New York Times this week. "We're kind of just dealing with the logistics of it day by day, but I've really been just kind of squirreling away and then hoping that gets me to January."

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/alexan...3Rkequ2MSpGwNtEJrV9kt_3Ppox21K1BfJPg2dBRAD2nc

 

[sean miguel]

I'm torn on Ocasio-Cortez. On one hand, she's a dingbat as far as her political beliefs go, but on the other, she is what our founding fathers had in mind in serving in elected office - ordinary people who worry about paying rent. She's young too as were many of the twenty-somethings who signed the Declaration of Independence. Let's not forget she busted her tight little ass (we're on a porn forum) and defeated who would've been the likely Speaker of the House.