*2016 US Presidential Elections* - Candidates, Statistics, Campaign Timelines, Debates

[Jack Davenport]

Which just illustrates he's gotten progressively better at what he does. At any rate, dismiss fivethirtyeight if you like, but I'm reminded of a friend of ours that touted "unskewed polls" in the last rodeo and ended up eating liberal amounts of crow in the aftermath.

Dude, I have a thread about Nate Silver.

But Allan Lichtman is not some far right loon posting an outlier. He uses scientific data and not polling data exclusively.

My argument is, that he has a longer track record of being correct.

 

[Jack Davenport]

From Wiki:

Lichtman is the author or co-author of nine books and more than 100 articles. He is best known for the "Keys" system, presented in his books The Thirteen Keys to the Presidency and The Keys to the White House. The system uses thirteen historical factors to predict whether or not the popular vote in the election for President of the United States will be won by the candidate of the party holding the presidency (regardless of whether the President is the candidate). The keys were selected based on their correlations with the presidential election results from 1860 through 1980, using statistical methods adapted from the work of geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok for predicting earthquakes. The system then correctly predicted the popular vote winner in each of the elections of since 1984, including 2000.

 

[meesterperfect]

Polls? Polls?
Polls Polls Polls Yeah.......
Polls Polls Polls Yeah.......
Polls Polls Polls yeah.......

Screw the fake polls.
The polls are given to you by the MSM.
The MSM lies to you. The MSM is your enemy.
Use your eyes and ears and the brain God gave you to determine who's ahead.
Way Way ahead in this case.

Well a whole crapload of Wikileaks emails came out today.
They look good. Or very very bad depending on your point of view.
And Bills *** Danney Williams put out a video today

Also. Team Trump put out a new campaign ad.
Youtube(Google) has made it "restricted" meaning it won't come up in a search.
Meaning most people won't see it.
You can only get it if you have the link.
Here it is, nothing spectacular.

So why would Google censure a Campaign video?
You figure it out...... with your brain.
Then ask yourself if that's the kind of country you want to live in.
We are at war people. Like it or not they have declared war against us.

 

[Luxman]

Trump should rebel against the GOP and create his own party.

 

[Ace Boobtoucher]

http://truthfeed.com/busted-fake-nb...ts-was-conducted-by-a-hillary-superpac/28809/

 

[meesterperfect]

Trump should rebel against the GOP and create his own party.

Yes, Yes he should.
He can invite a bunch of *********** and get Bacardi and Kettle One to sponser the *******.

 

[sean miguel]

Trump should rebel against the GOP and create his own party.

to the GOP establishment, that's essentially what he's done from the start.

This make things nice between Trump and Paul Ryan was a farce to begin with. Like Trump said, "the shackles are off," let him be what he is and his supporters will have to deal with it.

If Trump loses (as it appears likely), the rest of the Republican establishment should go down like the walls of Mordor. Insurgency my ass. That small town college professor who knocked the fuck out House Majority Leader Eric Cantor - I'm for him.

 

[pool_hustler]

:rofl2: :rofl2:

The Drudge Report (with tears in it's idiotic conspiratorial eyes) granted 17 years ago that this story had been thoroughly debunked by science...but is one of many partisan and wing nut sites grasping at straws by trying to resurrect it again at the last hour before the election

 

[pool_hustler]

Shocking I know, because the two are virtually identical twins to the eye! I mean, look at the eyebrows. The shape,width and depth of the eye sockets. The upper lips. The chins. If you could turn Clinton's skin black they'd be completely indistinguishable from one another :rofl:

 

[meesterperfect]

to the GOP establishment, that's essentially what he's done from the start.

This make things nice between Trump and Paul Ryan was a farce to begin with. Like Trump said, "the shackles are off," let him be what he is and his supporters will have to deal with it.

If Trump loses (as it appears likely), the rest of the Republican establishment should go down like the walls of Mordor. Insurgency my ass. That small town college professor who knocked the fuck out House Majority Leader Eric Cantor - I'm for him.

Why does it appear likely trump will lose?
Looks like you may have succumbed to the msm's propaganda.
Bummer.

Shocking I know, because the two are virtually identical twins to the eye! I mean, look at the eyebrows. The shape,width and depth of the eye sockets. The upper lips. The chins. If you could turn Clinton's skin black they'd be completely indistinguishable from one another :rofl:

yeah.
you just keep watching the fake news and believing everything they say is true.
Clintons are clean as an unused condom and HC is leading in the polls.

 

[The Yak]

I just think this should be here for the sake of historical record.

 

[Luxman]

to the GOP establishment, that's essentially what he's done from the start.

This make things nice between Trump and Paul Ryan was a farce to begin with. Like Trump said, "the shackles are off," let him be what he is and his supporters will have to deal with it.

If Trump loses (as it appears likely), the rest of the Republican establishment should go down like the walls of Mordor. Insurgency my ass. That small town college professor who knocked the fuck out House Majority Leader Eric Cantor - I'm for him.

I think Trump realizes he's in way over his head, and is trying to sabotage his own campaign.
All he wanted was some free publicity for his Trump brand name.

 

[xfire]

From Wiki:

Duly noted, I'm as good with Trump winning as with Hillary winning, they both suck.

 

[Straight Shooter]

Poll: Clinton leads by double digits after Trump tape
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/poll-video-trump-clinton-229548

Poll: Clinton leads by 7 in 4-way race
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct10

Polls: Clinton ahead by 2 in Florida, 12 in Pennsylvania
http://www.politico.com/blogs/swing...inton-trump-florida-pennsylvania-polls-229404

Poll: Trump leads by 3 in LA Times/USC Tracking Poll
http://www.latimes.com/politics/

LA Times/USC Tracking Poll: Clinton and Trump tied at 44%
http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/

Rasmussen poll: Clinton leads by 4
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/pub...ections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct12

 

[Supafly]

I just think this should be here for the sake of historical record.

...

Same about this

 

[sean miguel]

I just think this should be here for the sake of historical record.

lmao, that's awesome.

You must spread some Reputation around before giving it to The Yak again.

 

[sean miguel]

it was so awesome, I double posted.

oops.

 

[Ace Boobtoucher]

The problem is you can’t out-asshole Donald Trump… Personally, I’d like it if Calvin Coolidge were on the ticket, or indeed the Marquess of Salisbury. But they’ve decided to sit out Campaign 2016, so one must take what one can get. And a citizenry that votes for an asshole is less deluded than one that votes for a messiah …and, come to that, less damaging to republican virtue than voting for the previous guy’s wife or *******.

— Mark Steyn

 

[Bloodshot Scott]

What an absolute **** show this whole thing has turned out to be.


Now we're likely going to get the elitist white trash Hillary Clinton for president and our ********'s ********'s ******** are going to be hostage to a loony left wing activist court system.


This country's fucked. If that white trash bitch is elected I hope the whole fucking country crumbles to the ground. That's the only solution at that point. Anarchy and vigilantism (eventually) turning back to some sort of similitude of the America of the past where the goofy left didn't turn it into a third world dumpster fire like it is turning into.

 

[Straight Shooter]

Trump backers tweet #repealthe19th after polls show he'd win if only men voted :1orglaugh
http://www.latimes.com/nation/polit...ment/news/arts+(Los+Angeles+Times+-+The+Arts)